Exercise 4B29   Main

# What’s the Chance?

by Richard Pavlicek

Played cards, if any, are underlined. Assume adequate later entries.

 1. 3 NT 4 3 6 North leads A K J 10

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

Will you win ace first?

 2. 3 NT K 10 9 5 South leads 4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win one trick?

Will you finesse 10-9?

 3. 3 NT J 3 N or S leads A K 4 2

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

 4. 3 NT 10 9 N or S leads A K 5 4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win six tricks?

to win five tricks?

 Exercise 4B29   Main Top   What’s the Chance?

 5. 3 NT K 6 N or S leads A 5 4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

at least three tricks?

 6. 3 NT A Q 4 3 2 7 South leads 5

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

at least two tricks?

 7. 3 NT Q 3 2 South leads A 6 5 4

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

at least two tricks?

 8. 3 NT Q 9 8 5 4 6 South leads A 3 2

Will you finesse the nine if East drops the 10?

if East drops the jack?

 Exercise 4B29   Main Top   What’s the Chance?

 9. 4 3 2 North leads A 9 8 7 6 5 4

What is the chance (%) to win six tricks?

at least five tricks?

 10. 4 K 10 8 7 6 South leads Q 5 4 3 2

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

 11. 4 A 3 2 8 North leads K 10 7 6 5 4

Will you finesse the 10 if West drops the jack?

if West drops the queen?

 12. 4 A 2 10 5 North leads K Q 9 8 4 3

Could West have 3 cards when the 10 drops?

Will you finesse the nine?

 Exercise 4B29   Main Top   What’s the Chance?