Exercise 4B29 Main |
| by Richard Pavlicek |

As declarer, answer each question about the spade suit in the contract shown.

Played cards, if any, are __underlined__. Assume adequate later entries.

1. 3 NT | 4 3
| |

6
| ||

North leads | A K J 10 |

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

Will you win ace first?

2. 3 NT | K 10 9 | |

5 | ||

South leads | 4 3 2 |

What is the chance (%) to win one trick?

Will you finesse 10-9?

3. 3 NT | J 3 | |

N or S leads | A K 4 2 |

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

Which card do you lead?

4. 3 NT | 10 9 | |

N or S leads | A K 5 4 3 2 |

What is the chance (%) to win six tricks?

to win five tricks?

Exercise 4B29 Main | Top What’s the Chance? |

5. 3 NT | K 6 | |

N or S leads | A 5 4 3 2 |

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

at least three tricks?

6. 3 NT | A Q 4 3 2 | |

7 | ||

South leads | 5 |

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

at least two tricks?

7. 3 NT | Q 3 2 | |

South leads | A 6 5 4 |

What is the chance (%) to win three tricks?

at least two tricks?

8. 3 NT | Q 9 8 5 4
| |

6 | ||

South leads | A 3 2 |

Will you finesse the nine if East drops the 10?

if East drops the jack?

Exercise 4B29 Main | Top What’s the Chance? |

9. 4 | 3 2
| |

North leads | A 9 8 7 6 5 4 |

What is the chance (%) to win six tricks?

at least five tricks?

10. 4 | K 10 8 7 6 | |

South leads | Q 5 4 3 2 |

What is the chance (%) to win four tricks?

Which card do you lead?

11. 4 | A 3 2
| |

8
| ||

North leads | K 10 7 6 5 4 |

Will you finesse the 10 if West drops the jack?

if West drops the queen?

12. 4 | A 2
| |

10 | 5
| |

North leads | K Q 9 8 4 3 |

Could West have 3 cards when the 10 drops?

Will you finesse the nine?

Exercise 4B29 Main | Top What’s the Chance? |

© 1996 Richard Pavlicek