Simulation 8Z08   Main

# Trump Lead Part III

by Richard Pavlicek

[First read Part I and II]

Now suppose your trumps are 10-2 instead of 3-2, where a trump lead might lose a trump trick. Would this change the picture?

Which card would you lead?

 You 4 South WestPassPass North1 NT14 EastPassAll Pass SOUTH1 2 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 1. forcing (6-12)

Leads compared: 2, 2, 2. The comparison should be closer. Which lead will you bet on?

For a simulation I created 10,000 random deals with the West hand fixed and the other hands constrained to fit the auction. South: 5+ spades; 4+ hearts; 13-14 total points (minimal for better chances to set); freakness at most 7. North: 4+ hearts; not 4+ spades; 11+ support points (a stretch perhaps but leaving higher hopes to set). East: inappropriate hand for an overcall or takeout double.

Results are shown below. Trick Average shows the average number of tricks won by the defense. Set Percent shows how often the contract is defeated, and Hold Percent how often it is made without an overtrick. The second table compares each lead with every other lead, with the better choice leftmost. Net W-L (matchpoints or board-a-match verdict) counts +1 for a win and -1 for a loss. Net Score and Net IMPs are calculated twice, first with declarer nonvul (green) then with declarer vul (red). Plus values show the net gain over 10,000 deals.

No change but tightened up considerably, especially in Won-Lost (matchpoints or board-a-match) where the result may be too close to call statistically. For the final chapter, let’s increase the trump holding another notch… on to Part IV.

Results for 10,000 Deals
LeadTrick AverageSet PercentHold Percent
23.320043.1839.52
23.285542.2239.90
23.317743.1540.18

ComparisonNet W-LNet ScoreNet IMPsNet ScoreNet IMPs
2 vs. 2+325+55710+1349+87510+1690
2 vs. 2+21+3790+124+8990+213
2 vs. 2+304+51920+1227+78520+1479

### Actual Deals

Below are 100 of the 10,000 deals, including the first 20, last 20, and 60 in-between with the greatest IMP gains (20 for each lead). Numbers after each lead show the tricks won by the defense with double-dummy play by both sides.

 1. 8 7 5 Q 8 7 4 A Q 8 7 A 10 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 3 J 9 6 K 10 9 5 4 K Q 8 6 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 10 6 4 A K 5 3 6 9 7 5

 2. 8 7 A 9 8 7 Q 10 8 4 A 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 6 6 5 4 A K 6 5 Q 9 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K 10 5 4 3 K Q J 3 9 7 K 8

 3. 10 7 A 7 4 3 K Q 7 5 Q 10 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 6 8 6 5 A 10 8 6 4 A 7 6 2 → 5 2 → 5 2 → 5 K 8 5 4 3 K Q J 9 9 K 9 8

 4. 8 6 A K Q 5 Q 9 8 7 8 7 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 7 J 8 4 A K 10 6 Q 10 9 6 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 5 4 3 9 7 6 3 5 4 A K

 5. 6 4 K J 9 8 10 4 A Q 10 9 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 5 A 7 5 A 9 8 7 5 K 8 6 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 3 K Q 10 7 3 Q 6 4 3 K Q 6 7

 6. 10 5 4 Q J 8 3 K Q 4 A 10 9 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 7 6 4 A 8 7 6 5 K Q 7 6 2 → 4 2 → 3 2 → 4 K Q 8 6 3 A K 9 5 10 9 8 5

 7. Q 8 A 8 7 4 K Q 6 5 4 10 9 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 5 3 9 6 3 A 10 8 A Q 7 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 10 7 6 4 K Q J 5 9 7 K 8

 8. 8 K 7 5 4 3 8 7 5 4 A K 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K Q 4 J 9 K 10 9 Q 10 9 8 5 2 → 1 2 → 1 2 → 1 10 7 6 5 3 A Q 8 6 A Q 6 7

 9. 6 A 6 5 3 K 10 9 4 K 8 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 5 3 J 9 7 A Q 8 5 A 9 7 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 8 7 4 K Q 8 4 7 6 Q 10

 10. — K J 9 3 Q 9 6 5 4 10 9 7 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 8 7 3 Q 4 K 8 7 A K Q 8 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 2 Q 10 6 5 4 A 8 7 6 5 A 10 5

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 11. 8 J 9 6 3 A 10 9 4 K Q 9 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 5 4 A Q 5 K Q 8 6 8 7 6 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K Q 10 6 3 K 8 7 4 7 5 A 10

 12. 5 K J 9 5 4 9 8 6 4 K Q 10 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 8 Q 6 K Q 10 7 A 8 7 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 7 6 4 3 A 8 7 3 A 5 9 6

 13. Q K Q 8 7 K 10 7 4 10 9 8 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 6 3 A J 5 Q 8 6 5 K Q 7 2 → 5 2 → 4 2 → 5 K 8 7 5 4 9 6 4 3 A 9 A 6

 14. Q J 6 5 4 A K 10 8 6 5 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 6 3 9 8 7 9 7 4 A K Q 5 2 → 1 2 → 1 2 → 3 K 10 7 5 4 A K Q 3 Q 9 8 6

 15. K 8 A 9 7 5 10 8 5 4 A 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 7 6 4 3 K 9 6 K Q 9 7 5 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 2 10 6 5 4 3 K Q J 8 A Q 7 10

 16. K Q Q 9 7 6 3 A 7 6 10 9 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 7 J 8 K 10 8 5 4 A Q 8 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 10 6 5 4 3 A K 5 4 Q 9 K 6

 17. 4 8 6 4 3 A 10 7 6 4 A 9 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 8 5 J 7 5 K 9 5 K Q 10 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 Q 10 7 6 3 A K Q 9 Q 8 8 7

 18. 8 7 Q 9 8 7 6 A 8 7 A 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 3 K J K 10 9 5 4 K 9 8 7 2 → 3 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 6 5 4 A 5 4 3 Q 6 Q 10

 19. — J 8 5 4 A 10 8 5 4 K 9 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 6 5 3 K 9 7 K 9 7 6 A Q 2 → 3 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 8 7 4 A Q 6 3 Q 10 8 7

 20. — K 6 5 3 A 10 8 6 4 Q 10 9 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 8 7 6 7 4 K Q 5 A K 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 10 5 4 3 A Q J 9 8 9 7 8

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 233. 10 A K 9 5 K 10 9 6 5 9 8 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 6 5 3 Q 6 4 8 7 4 A K Q 7 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 4 K Q 8 7 4 J 8 7 3 A Q 10 6

 321. 10 Q 7 5 3 10 5 4 A Q 9 7 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 6 4 9 6 A K Q 7 K 10 8 5 2 → 4 2 → 5 2 → 3 Q 8 7 5 3 A K J 8 4 9 8 6 —

 381. Q K Q 8 6 5 10 7 6 5 K Q 10 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 5 4 A J K Q 9 9 8 7 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 4 2 → 2 K 10 7 6 3 9 7 4 3 A 8 4 A

 488. 8 5 Q 9 6 4 A K 10 9 Q 10 9 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 6 K 7 8 7 6 5 4 A 8 7 5 2 → 2 2 → 3 2 → 4 K 10 7 4 3 A J 8 5 3 Q K 6

 825. — A 7 5 4 K 9 8 7 4 Q 7 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 8 6 3 K 6 3 Q 10 5 A 10 9 2 → 4 2 → 3 2 → 2 Q 10 7 5 4 Q J 9 8 A 6 K 8

 947. 5 A 9 6 4 A 7 5 Q 10 9 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 6 4 8 7 3 Q 8 6 4 A K 8 2 → 4 2 → 2 2 → 3 Q 10 8 7 3 K Q J 5 K 10 9 7

 978. 5 4 K Q 9 8 4 Q 9 7 4 K 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 6 J 5 K 8 6 5 A Q 9 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 3 2 → 5 K 10 8 7 3 A 7 6 3 A 10 10 8

 983. K 7 K 9 7 3 9 8 4 K Q 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 3 Q 8 4 K Q 7 5 A 9 8 7 2 → 4 2 → 5 2 → 3 Q 10 6 5 4 A J 6 5 A 10 6 10

 1055. 7 4 3 A J 8 5 10 9 8 A K 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 9 3 A K 7 5 4 10 9 8 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 4 2 → 2 K Q 10 6 5 K Q 7 6 4 Q 6 Q

 1072. 7 6 7 6 5 4 A K Q 10 6 Q 10 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 10 Q 3 9 7 4 A 9 8 7 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 4 Q 8 5 4 3 A K J 9 8 8 5 K

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 1174. 7 K Q 9 5 3 8 7 6 K Q 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 5 4 3 A J A Q 9 5 9 8 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 5 2 → 3 K Q 10 8 6 8 7 6 4 K 10 4 A

 1237. 6 J 7 6 3 10 8 7 A K Q 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 5 4 Q 9 5 A K Q 9 10 9 7 2 → 3 2 → 5 2 → 3 K Q 10 7 3 A K 8 4 6 5 4 8

 1453. Q 10 4 A K J 8 Q 10 6 4 9 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 5 7 6 5 K 9 8 7 A Q 8 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 2 2 → 4 K 8 7 6 3 Q 9 4 3 A 5 K 10

 1455. 5 A J 8 7 A 9 8 7 5 10 7 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 8 K 6 4 K Q 10 6 Q 8 5 2 → 5 2 → 3 2 → 4 K 7 6 4 3 Q 9 5 3 4 A K 9

 1619. — 9 7 6 3 Q 10 9 7 6 A 10 9 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K Q 6 5 J 5 4 A K 8 4 Q 5 2 → 4 2 → 3 2 → 2 10 8 7 4 3 A K Q 8 5 K 8 6

 1632. — J 8 7 4 K 10 8 5 4 K 10 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 7 6 A 9 5 A Q 7 6 Q 8 2 → 5 2 → 4 2 → 3 K 8 5 4 3 K Q 6 3 9 A 9 7

 1688. 5 K J 9 4 A 7 6 5 4 Q 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 8 4 7 6 3 K Q 8 A 9 8 7 2 → 4 2 → 3 2 → 2 Q 10 7 6 3 A Q 8 5 10 9 K 10

 1766. 6 3 Q 7 6 5 A Q 10 4 K 10 9 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 7 K 3 9 8 7 5 A Q 8 7 5 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 4 K 10 8 5 4 A J 9 8 4 K 6 6

 1776. K 5 J 6 5 3 10 9 5 A K 10 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 7 A 7 K Q 6 4 Q 9 8 7 6 2 → 2 2 → 4 2 → 2 Q 8 6 4 3 K Q 9 8 4 A 8 7 —

 2091. 8 6 3 K 9 8 7 Q 10 A Q 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q J 4 A K 9 7 6 4 9 8 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 5 2 → 3 K 10 7 5 4 A Q 6 5 3 8 5 K

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 2253. Q 9 8 5 4 9 6 5 A K Q 8 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 8 7 A Q 3 K Q 8 7 9 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 4 2 → 2 K 6 5 4 3 K J 7 6 A 10 4 10

 2431. 6 5 K Q 9 4 K 10 9 7 K 10 9 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 7 J 8 7 8 6 5 4 A Q 7 6 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 5 Q 10 8 4 3 A 6 5 3 A Q 8 5

 2447. 8 7 A 8 7 4 A K 10 9 4 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 10 Q 9 5 8 7 6 5 A 10 9 7 2 → 2 2 → 3 2 → 4 Q 6 5 4 3 K J 6 3 Q K Q 8

 2576. Q K J 9 3 K 7 6 5 Q 10 9 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 7 4 A 7 6 A 9 8 K 8 7 6 2 → 5 2 → 3 2 → 4 K 8 6 5 3 Q 8 5 4 Q 10 4 A

 2651. 6 3 A 8 7 5 Q 8 6 K Q 10 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 4 Q J 3 K 10 9 5 A 8 7 5 2 → 3 2 → 5 2 → 3 K Q 8 7 5 K 9 6 4 A 7 4 9

 2717. 8 K J 9 8 A 10 9 8 6 5 4 10 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 10 6 A 7 3 K 7 Q 9 8 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 1 2 → 1 Q 7 5 4 3 Q 6 5 4 Q A K 7

 3005. Q 10 J 9 6 3 Q 10 9 7 4 A Q A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 6 5 A 7 4 K 6 5 K 10 9 7 5 2 → 3 2 → 2 2 → 4 K 8 7 4 3 K Q 8 5 A 8 8 6

 3151. Q 10 7 A K 5 3 Q 10 4 10 7 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 J 8 4 9 8 7 6 5 A K Q 8 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 5 K 6 5 4 3 Q 9 7 6 A K 9 5

 3163. 8 4 K J 5 4 K Q 10 8 6 Q 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 7 A 9 8 A 7 5 4 10 9 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 5 2 → 3 K 10 6 5 3 Q 7 6 3 9 A K 8

 3894. 8 5 K J 5 4 Q 8 K Q 10 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 4 9 8 3 A K 10 7 A 9 7 5 2 → 5 2 → 4 2 → 3 K Q 10 6 3 A Q 7 6 9 6 5 4 —

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 4180. Q K 9 5 3 Q 10 9 7 4 A 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 6 4 Q J 4 K 8 6 K Q 7 5 2 → 3 2 → 2 2 → 4 K 10 7 5 3 A 8 7 6 A 5 10 9

 4275. Q 5 9 8 7 6 3 A K 10 5 10 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 4 Q 4 8 7 6 4 A Q 9 7 6 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 4 10 8 7 6 3 A K J 5 Q 9 K 8

 4318. — J 9 8 7 K Q 10 9 6 4 7 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 7 5 A Q 6 8 5 A K 10 9 2 → 3 2 → 4 2 → 5 K 8 6 4 3 K 5 4 3 A 7 Q 8

 4724. 10 8 7 K 9 6 3 A 9 5 K Q 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 4 A 8 4 K Q 10 4 10 9 8 7 6 2 → 4 2 → 5 2 → 3 K Q 6 5 3 Q J 7 5 8 7 6 A

 5241. Q 8 7 J 9 8 7 A Q 8 7 K 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 6 5 10 9 6 5 4 A Q 8 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 4 10 6 5 4 3 A K Q 4 3 K 10 9

 5355. 4 A 9 4 3 A Q 8 6 8 7 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 8 K 6 5 9 7 5 4 A Q 10 2 → 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 7 6 5 3 Q J 8 7 K 10 K 9

 5443. 10 7 J 9 6 4 K Q 10 8 4 K Q A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 8 K 5 3 A 7 6 5 10 9 7 6 2 → 2 2 → 4 2 → 2 Q 6 5 4 3 A Q 8 7 9 A 8 5

 5458. 6 J 8 7 5 9 8 7 A K Q 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 4 3 K 9 6 A K Q 10 9 7 5 2 → 3 2 → 5 2 → 3 K Q 8 7 5 A Q 4 3 6 5 4 10

 5598. 10 8 6 4 3 A 8 5 A Q 8 7 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 6 5 K Q 5 K Q 10 7 10 9 6 2 → 3 2 → 4 2 → 2 K Q 7 4 3 A J 9 7 9 6 4 K

 5641. 5 4 J 8 6 3 K 6 4 A K 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 Q 7 A Q 10 8 7 5 9 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 4 2 → 2 K 8 7 6 3 A K 9 5 4 9 Q 8

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 5900. Q 10 J 9 8 4 3 K 10 8 5 K Q A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 5 K 7 9 7 6 4 A 10 9 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 3 2 → 4 8 7 6 4 3 A Q 6 5 A Q 8 7

 6246. 3 A 8 7 5 A 8 5 4 Q 10 9 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 6 4 Q 9 4 K 9 7 6 K 8 7 2 → 4 2 → 3 2 → 2 Q 10 8 7 5 K J 6 3 Q 10 A 6

 6463. 6 5 9 8 6 5 K 10 7 A K 10 8 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 4 Q 7 A Q 9 6 5 Q 9 7 5 2 → 3 2 → 5 2 → 4 K 10 8 7 3 A K J 4 3 8 4 6

 6519. — K 6 5 4 K 9 7 6 5 8 7 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 4 3 A Q 7 Q 4 K Q 10 9 2 → 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 8 7 6 5 J 9 8 3 A 10 8 A

 6532. Q K J 7 4 Q 8 5 4 K 10 7 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 8 3 8 5 3 K 9 7 6 A 8 5 2 → 4 2 → 2 2 → 3 10 7 6 5 4 A Q 9 6 A 10 Q 9

 6728. 4 K Q 9 7 6 K Q 10 6 10 9 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 7 3 8 5 A 8 7 5 4 K Q 7 2 → 3 2 → 2 2 → 4 K 10 8 6 5 A J 4 3 9 A 8 5

 6765. — Q 8 5 3 Q 8 7 6 K 9 8 7 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 8 7 6 A K 4 9 5 A Q 10 6 2 → 6 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 10 5 4 3 J 9 7 6 A K 10 4 —

 6879. K 10 7 K 7 6 5 K Q 8 5 Q 10 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 5 J 9 4 10 7 6 4 A K 9 7 6 2 → 3 2 → 2 2 → 4 Q 8 6 4 3 A Q 8 3 A 9 8 5

 6916. 6 A 9 7 3 Q 8 7 5 K 10 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K Q 10 K J 5 K 10 9 4 9 7 5 2 → 5 2 → 4 2 → 3 8 7 5 4 3 Q 8 6 4 A 6 A Q

 7162. 8 A J 9 3 7 6 5 4 A 10 7 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 5 3 K 8 7 K Q 10 9 9 8 5 2 → 5 2 → 4 2 → 3 Q 10 7 6 4 Q 6 5 4 A 8 K Q

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 7245. Q 9 8 6 4 A Q 6 5 4 Q 9 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 7 4 A Q 7 K 8 7 K 10 8 5 2 → 4 2 → 3 2 → 5 K 10 6 5 3 K J 5 3 10 9 A 6

 7414. 3 K J 8 6 A Q 7 5 4 10 8 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 7 Q 7 5 K 9 8 6 A 9 7 6 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 5 K 10 8 6 5 4 A 9 4 3 10 K Q

 7460. 7 A 9 8 4 K 10 9 8 5 K 7 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 4 3 K 7 6 Q 7 6 4 A 9 6 2 → 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 Q 10 8 6 5 Q J 5 3 A Q 10 8

 7494. 7 5 Q J 9 8 5 A Q 8 4 Q 8 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 K 10 9 7 6 5 A 10 7 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 4 K 8 6 4 3 A 7 6 4 3 K K 9

 7647. 8 9 7 6 4 Q 10 9 8 7 6 A 10 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 5 A K A K 5 4 9 7 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 2 2 → 3 K 7 6 4 3 Q J 8 5 3 — K Q 8

 7694. 5 K J 7 6 Q 7 6 4 Q 8 7 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 8 6 5 4 3 A 9 8 A 10 9 6 2 → 5 2 → 3 2 → 4 Q 10 7 4 3 A Q 9 8 K 10 5 K

 8106. 5 Q J 9 5 4 10 7 4 A Q 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 7 3 A 6 K Q 6 5 9 8 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 4 2 → 2 K 10 8 6 4 K 8 7 3 A 9 8 K

 8394. K Q 9 8 4 10 6 5 A K 9 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 5 4 7 5 A K Q 7 Q 10 7 5 2 → 2 2 → 4 2 → 2 Q 10 8 6 3 A K J 6 3 9 8 4 —

 8402. 4 8 6 4 3 A 10 6 K Q 10 9 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 6 3 Q J 9 K Q 8 7 A 7 5 2 → 3 2 → 5 2 → 3 K Q 10 8 5 A K 7 5 9 5 4 8

 8715. — J 9 7 3 Q 6 5 4 A Q 9 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 6 5 3 A 6 5 K 9 8 7 K 10 2 → 5 2 → 3 2 → 4 Q 10 8 7 4 K Q 8 4 A 10 8 7

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 9981. 7 6 A K 5 4 10 7 5 4 A 9 8 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 3 J 8 3 A K 9 6 Q 10 7 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 8 5 4 Q 9 7 6 Q 8 K 6

 9982. K Q J 8 7 K 9 8 5 K 10 7 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 7 6 K 6 3 Q 7 6 4 A 9 6 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 2 Q 8 5 4 3 A 9 5 4 A 10 Q 8

 9983. 10 7 6 7 6 5 4 3 A K 8 A 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q A 8 Q 10 9 7 6 5 Q 10 8 7 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K 8 5 4 3 K Q J 9 4 K 9 6

 9984. Q 8 J 9 8 6 5 A 10 8 6 A 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 4 A 4 9 7 5 4 K Q 10 8 7 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 3 K 10 6 5 3 K Q 7 3 K Q 9 6

 9985. — 8 7 5 4 3 A K Q 6 4 9 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 7 5 3 K Q 10 9 5 A K 10 5 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 3 K Q 10 6 4 A J 9 6 8 7 Q 7

 9986. K 5 3 K J 9 8 A 9 5 Q 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 6 6 4 3 K Q 10 6 4 A 10 9 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 Q 10 8 7 4 A Q 7 5 8 7 K 7

 9987. 6 4 3 J 8 7 4 A 6 A K 8 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 A Q 3 Q 10 8 7 5 4 9 7 6 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K Q 10 8 5 K 9 6 5 K 9 Q 10

 9988. 10 8 K J 8 6 4 10 8 6 4 A K A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 4 9 3 A K 9 Q 10 8 7 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K 7 6 5 3 A Q 7 5 Q 7 5 9

 9989. 8 K J 9 4 K 8 6 5 4 K 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 6 4 Q 5 A 10 9 A 9 8 6 5 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K Q 7 5 3 A 8 7 6 3 Q 7 Q

 9990. 4 K Q J 6 4 10 6 5 4 A 8 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K 7 5 9 3 K Q 8 7 K 10 7 6 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 Q 10 8 6 3 A 8 7 5 A 9 Q 9

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

 9991. 10 K 9 8 7 A 9 8 5 Q 10 8 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 7 4 A 6 4 K Q 10 6 K 9 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 6 5 3 Q J 5 3 7 4 A 7

 9992. 10 8 5 A J 9 4 10 9 7 A K 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q K 6 5 K 8 6 5 Q 9 8 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K 7 6 4 3 Q 8 7 3 A Q 4 10

 9993. Q 8 7 6 5 3 A K 9 8 K 9 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 10 7 Q J 4 7 6 4 A Q 10 8 7 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 6 5 4 3 A K 9 8 Q 10 5 5

 9994. 6 Q J 8 5 K 10 8 7 4 K 10 7 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K Q 5 K 7 4 A 9 6 9 8 6 5 2 → 2 2 → 2 2 → 2 10 8 7 4 3 A 9 6 3 Q 5 A Q

 9995. 10 7 5 Q J 9 3 9 8 A K Q 9 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 A 8 6 K Q 10 7 4 10 8 6 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 K Q 6 4 3 K 7 5 4 A 6 5 7

 9996. 10 5 A K 4 3 9 7 5 A 7 6 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 7 4 J 9 7 K Q 10 6 4 K 10 8 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 3 K Q 8 6 3 Q 8 6 5 A 8 Q 9

 9997. K 8 7 6 5 4 K Q 10 7 6 Q 9 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 3 Q 8 3 A 9 5 4 K 10 8 7 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 4 10 7 6 5 4 A K J 9 8 A 6 5

 9998. — J 9 8 7 K 8 6 5 4 K 8 7 5 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 Q 10 8 3 K Q Q 10 9 7 A Q 10 2 → 3 2 → 3 2 → 3 K 7 6 5 4 A 6 5 4 3 A 9 6

 9999. 7 6 J 8 7 5 A K 7 6 K 10 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 K Q 6 3 Q 10 9 8 4 A 8 7 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 Q 10 8 5 4 3 A K 9 4 5 Q 9

 10000. K 7 3 K J 8 5 K 10 4 K 7 6 A J 9 2 10 2 J 3 2 J 4 3 2 8 9 4 3 A Q 8 6 Q 10 9 8 5 2 → 4 2 → 4 2 → 4 Q 10 6 5 4 A Q 7 6 9 7 5 A

 Simulation 8Z08   Main Top   Trump Lead Part III

© 2016 Richard Pavlicek